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background="../../../public/4812.files/nr_r9_c2.jpg"><table width="90%" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tr><td align="left" class="z14"></td></tr> <tr> <td height="30" align="center" class="z20" style="padding-top:8px;">房?jī)r(jià)飛漲都是大學(xué)生們?nèi)堑牡?/td> </tr><tr><td height="25" align="center" class="cbbule"></td></tr> <tr> <td height="3"><hr size="1" color="#CCCCCC" ></td></tr><tr> <td height="20" align="center">http:// 2009-11-27 17:00 作者：來(lái)源：</a></a></td> </tr> <tr><td align="center"></td></tr> <tr> <td height="18"><hr size="1" color="#CCCCCC" ></td></tr><tr> <tr> <td class="z14"><p>?</p> <p>????最近幾天都看到了眾多關(guān)于中國(guó)房?jī)r(jià)的報(bào)道，我是一個(gè)在校學(xué)生，所以我以一個(gè)學(xué)生的視角看待中國(guó)房?jī)r(jià)飛漲這個(gè)問(wèn)題。</p> <p>????首先，房子漲價(jià)是必然的，自古到今都是這樣，只要按照一定的比例漲是正常的。但不正常的是房?jī)r(jià)飛漲。其實(shí)大家可以看看那些中小城市的放假漲幅并不是很大，至少是在可以接受的范圍之內(nèi)，以一般城市家庭來(lái)說(shuō)，在自己生活的中小城市買套房子應(yīng)該是不苦難的。而最受爭(zhēng)議的往往是大城市的房?jī)r(jià)。對(duì)于其他一些因素我不想多說(shuō)，我只想說(shuō)一下我自己認(rèn)為一個(gè)最合理的因素----大學(xué)生！</p> <p>????昨天剛看了新聞， 2010年預(yù)計(jì)會(huì)有600萬(wàn)大學(xué)畢業(yè)生在深圳找到工作，其中包括近300萬(wàn)的外地大學(xué)畢業(yè)生，這意味著深圳在2010年至少增加300萬(wàn)人口。另一方面，也就意味著，在未來(lái)的5年之內(nèi)，這600萬(wàn)的大學(xué)生，大都會(huì)在深圳安家落戶，我們簡(jiǎn)單的算一下，最終有400萬(wàn)留在深圳，就會(huì)組成200萬(wàn)個(gè)新家庭，而對(duì)于傳統(tǒng)的中國(guó)人來(lái)說(shuō)，結(jié)婚就要買房，也就意味著，這200萬(wàn)個(gè)新家庭有大部分要購(gòu)置房。一年就多出200萬(wàn)個(gè)房屋需求，這也就不難解釋房?jī)r(jià)為什么會(huì)飛漲啦。</p> <p>????而有人要問(wèn)啦，為什么就這幾年才出現(xiàn)飛漲現(xiàn)象，前些年沒(méi)有呢。我個(gè)人認(rèn)為，這就涉及到一個(gè)政府決策，一個(gè)曾經(jīng)所有人都認(rèn)為是無(wú)比好的政策——大學(xué)擴(kuò)招。大學(xué)生至少在我們80后看來(lái)，曾經(jīng)是無(wú)比神圣的稱號(hào)，小時(shí)候，幾乎每個(gè)80后都?jí)粝胫蔀榇髮W(xué)生，現(xiàn)在看看，在大城市里，博士、碩士遍地都是，更何況本科生呢。所以，現(xiàn)在的本科生不值錢啦。更何況那些原本就不是很有名氣的本科學(xué)校的畢業(yè)生呢。看看現(xiàn)在中國(guó)擴(kuò)招到什么地步了，高考有個(gè)分?jǐn)?shù)就可以上大學(xué)，無(wú)論是什么垃圾學(xué)校。在我們周圍就經(jīng)常體會(huì)到，朋友、同事的孩子考上大學(xué)，辦個(gè)學(xué)子宴，好多都是一些沒(méi)聽說(shuō)過(guò)名字的學(xué)校，甚至考上個(gè)中專、幼師也要慶祝一下，這只能說(shuō)明現(xiàn)在上大學(xué)越來(lái)月容易啦。這段只是題外話，和放假?zèng)]什么關(guān)系，嘿嘿?，F(xiàn)在上大學(xué)容易了，而上了大學(xué)的，又有幾個(gè)愿意回到自己的那個(gè)城市呢，大都選擇留在省會(huì)城市或者一些大城市。這也自然而然的回到了開頭的話題，為什么會(huì)有600萬(wàn)大學(xué)畢業(yè)生到深圳工作。好像不僅僅是因?yàn)槟抢锕ぷ鳈C(jī)會(huì)多吧。</p> <p>????我們想想，國(guó)家是在1999年開始擴(kuò)招，4年畢業(yè)，3年成家，1999年那批大學(xué)生經(jīng)過(guò)7年是2006年，這不正是我們開始關(guān)注房?jī)r(jià)飛漲的時(shí)候嗎！而近些年擴(kuò)招規(guī)模越來(lái)越大，所以房?jī)r(jià)也越長(zhǎng)越兇，這看起來(lái)是必然的吧。而且我們看看，房?jī)r(jià)飛漲最嚴(yán)重的地方不就是大學(xué)畢業(yè)生最愿意去的地方嗎！</p> <p>????到這里，我認(rèn)為大學(xué)生造就了房?jī)r(jià)的飛漲是可以得到證明啦。</p> <p>????接下來(lái)，我還要說(shuō)的是，其實(shí)罪魁禍?zhǔn)撞⒉皇谴髮W(xué)生們，他們沒(méi)有錯(cuò)，而是政府政策出了問(wèn)題，其實(shí)大學(xué)擴(kuò)招并沒(méi)有錯(cuò)，為了增強(qiáng)國(guó)民的素質(zhì)，這是很好的政策。既然不是擴(kuò)招惹的禍，那是什么呢？我們看看房?jī)r(jià)飛漲最厲害、房?jī)r(jià)最高的城市大都是經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)快，集中在東南沿海、江浙地區(qū)。為什么濟(jì)南、哈爾濱、南京同樣是省會(huì)，濟(jì)南、哈爾濱的平均房?jī)r(jià)只有南京的一般呢。還是那個(gè)原因，這些發(fā)達(dá)城市就業(yè)機(jī)會(huì)多，大學(xué)畢業(yè)生自然多，人口增長(zhǎng)也要比濟(jì)南、哈爾濱之類的城市快的多。房?jī)r(jià)當(dāng)然也要漲的快??！因?yàn)榉孔拥脑黾恿窟h(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)趕不上人口的增加量??！而且我們可以注意到一個(gè)現(xiàn)象，在房?jī)r(jià)高的城市中，真正的有錢人，大都非原住民，而大都是外來(lái)人口。為什么那么多人都要擠破頭的往那些本不屬于自己的城市去呢？誰(shuí)不想離家近呢，誰(shuí)不想守在父母身旁呢！這也是被現(xiàn)實(shí)所迫啊！原因很簡(jiǎn)單，自己的城市沒(méi)有那些大城市好！這也就是我要說(shuō)的那個(gè)根源啦----我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展地域性不均衡。為什么西部、東北部、西南部、東南部的放假不高呢，因?yàn)槟抢锶松?，為什么那里人少呢，因?yàn)槟抢锝?jīng)濟(jì)不發(fā)達(dá)，我是個(gè)東北人，家住在一個(gè)二級(jí)城市。和我同樣年紀(jì)的人，小學(xué)同學(xué)、初中同學(xué)、高中同學(xué)，幾乎很少有人留在我那個(gè)城市啦，大都去了南方或者成了北漂。明顯的感覺(jué)到，我的城市人口變少了，沒(méi)有小時(shí)后熱鬧啦。因?yàn)槟抢锇l(fā)展的不好，窮人越來(lái)越多啦，其實(shí)山東人能明顯的感覺(jué)到，山東的東北人特別多，這不是說(shuō)明他們想回祖籍啦，是說(shuō)明在東北不好混了，在山東還有一些老親戚投靠，可以出來(lái)多賺些錢。其實(shí)不只是東北，哪個(gè)地方都一樣，生活在村里的就想去縣里，生活在縣里的就想去城市里，生活在普通城市里的就想去省會(huì)城市，生活在普通省會(huì)的就想去北京、上海之類的更大城市。舉這個(gè)例子只想說(shuō)明，人本來(lái)都覺(jué)得家鄉(xiāng)好，但是人又都想往高處走。到外面能賺錢，到外面能過(guò)好日子，當(dāng)然都去外面啦。我相信，如果生活在上海的人，如果條件一樣的話，絕不會(huì)去北京，因?yàn)樗麄儠?huì)留在屬于自己的家鄉(xiāng)。</p> <p>????正式因?yàn)槲覈?guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展地域性不均衡，造成了大量的人涌向發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)，不僅給發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)造成了很多負(fù)擔(dān)，還造成了很多人力資源的浪費(fèi)，而在不發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)或者相對(duì)不發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)又往往缺乏人才，從而發(fā)展更緩慢，就造成了惡性循環(huán)。發(fā)達(dá)的地方房?jī)r(jià)飛漲，發(fā)展更好，不發(fā)達(dá)地方房?jī)r(jià)漲幅相對(duì)較慢，發(fā)展也相對(duì)較慢。</p> <p>????所以，那些生活在大城市的人，天天抱怨房?jī)r(jià)飛漲的人，還是不要抱怨啦，抓緊行動(dòng)吧，努力賺錢，越早買房越好，房?jī)r(jià)只會(huì)漲不會(huì)跌，這是必然的。</p> <p>????更正一下，題目只是用來(lái)吸引眼球。其實(shí)大學(xué)生也是無(wú)辜的。</p></td></tr><tr><td align="right">編輯：韋世寧 </td></tr> </table><table width="90%" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tr> <td><hr size="1" color="#CCCCCC" ></hr></td> </tr> <tr> <td><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td align="left" valign="top" bgcolor="#FFFFFF"><table width="100%" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tr> <td height="35" class="cNbule"><table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td><div> 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